I was talking about risk last night with a couple of friends. I was asked why climate change is a risk to individuals, nations and the world. Here's why. The following distribution describes the estimated chance of different warmings if we give up producing CO2 and other greenhouse gases now (actually if we stopped in 2005). You will see that we have a more than evens chance already of melting the greenland ice sheet (7m of sea level rise, enough to reach the shores of Cambridge). Over the next few years we will reach the same chance of destroying the amazon rain forest (it's even possible that if climate change was compounded by drought, a vast fire might erupt). Big risks.
The commentary "Stop Worrying Start Panicking?" on this is here:
The other thing I've been thinking about is the basic evidence about why the planet is cooking (in particular, how we determine the radiative forcing of different gases). I've found this article which appears quite good: http://www-ramanathan.ucsd.edu/RamAmbio.pdf
I've been searching for some tools to help me write a book. The word processing tool I intend to use is Open Office, which I find much more elegant and clean when it comes to the use of styles.
Using Open Office, I've been searching the web for tools to improve the design and give hints on writing a book in OO. Here is my list of links:
Overall this is the best link: http://www.linux.com/archive/articles/51448
A basic tutorial on Open Office is Available here: http://www.kaaredyret.dk/openoffice.html
Further resources on taming OO are here: http://www.taming-openoffice-org.com/newsite/?page_id=27
A general guide to writing a book is available here: http://www.taming-openoffice-org.com/newsite/?page_id=18
There are two ways to write a book: as a single file or as a master document. For information about the single file method see here: http://www.freesoftwaremagazine.com/articles/create_book_template_with_writer
Interestingly, the other Open Office apps have styles too: http://www.linuxjournal.com/content/graphic-styles-openofficeorg-draw-and-impress
Information on graphic design and pagelayout is on Wikipedia here:http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Graphic_design and http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Page_layout
I also use Zotero for references, which I'm finding very helpful. Go here http://wiki.services.openoffice.org/wiki/Bibliographic/Style
You can get a full book template here: http://www.lulu.com/content/multimedia/6x9-book-template-for-openofficeorg-writer/232670
The open office templates are here: http://templates.services.openoffice.org/en/search/node/book
I've downloaded all the templates but I'm not that impressed by the graphical design.
The 'Advanced book template' has space for notes.
One template with active development is here: http://templates.services.openoffice.org/en/node/1577
This is intended for novelists, but has a lot of detailed help, including styles to create notes that won't be part of the final book. There is even a google group
Posted by Stephen Stretton at 12:08